In the last update we looked at the construction of the candlestick chart and the logic of drawing charts in this manner and the set of information, which we can absorb, by looking at a chart using the candlestick method. We move further into the subject this time by taking up some of the common and popular patterns.
Candlestick Patterns
The interplay of the body size and the shadows as well as the open and close of one or more candles is what produces the candlestick patterns. At the outset, it should be understood that almost all the candle patterns are “reversal patterns”. A black candle (bearish) following a white candle (bullish) would “reverse” the earlier bullishness. A small body candle (indecision) would reverse the implications of a long bodied candle (decisiveness) etc. A few candle patterns are continuation patterns.
Most of the patterns are single candle patterns. There are some two-candle patterns and a few three-candle patterns. Multi candle patterns consisting of more than three candles are not very many and are rarely seen.
One mostly gets to see the single or two candle pattern. All of them are reversal patterns. Some points relating to this needs to be understood right at the outset.
Reversal patterns, since they are seen so frequently, need to be confirmed. In other words, the market or stock should follow through in the direction of the indicated reversal. Else, it is to be deemed to have failed. All single and two candle reversal patterns need to be confirmed. Three candle patterns and higher do not need confirmation as the multiple candles in themselves are taken as confirmations.
Reversal patterns must have something to reverse. Meaning thereby, that any pattern that seeks to reverse, must be preceded by some directional movement. The extent of reversal would depend upon the extent of the move – either up or down – which preceded the appearance of the pattern. It naturally follows from the above that any reversal pattern seen in a sideways phase is value less as there is nothing to reverse.
Pattern failures – in view of the fact that they are so frequent – are seen very frequently. A lack of confirmation has to be taken as a pattern failure. One must then look for a reversal of the signal shown by the earlier pattern. This is a subtler signal and one caught with some experience of using candlestick.
Pattern Examples
The lengths of the body to the shadow form single Candle Patterns These patterns.
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HAMMER It is a bottoming candlestick line where a small real body at the top of the trading range with a very long shadows with little or no upper shadow. |
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HANGING MAN It is topping pattern where a small real body with little or no upper shadow but a long lower shadow. It is a bearish reversal pattern when appearing during an uptrend. |
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SHOOTING STAR It is a bearish candlestick with a long upper shadow with little, or no lower shadow, and a small real body near the lows of the session. It is bearish when seen at the end of a an advance. |
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DOJI A candle with no body as open and close is at the same level. It indicates high levels of indecision and is bearish if seen at the end of long upmoves and bullish if seen at the end of long down moves. There are some varieties of Doji such as Long Legged -very long shadows, Gravestone – open and close at the low of the day and Dragonfly – open and close at the high of the day. All have the same implication. |
Two Candle Patterns
The relation between two adjacent candles forms these patterns. The second candle is the one that completes the pattern. Because two candles are involved, they are slightly more reliable patterns than the single candle variety. Nevertheless, they too require confirmation. In all two candle patterns, the second candle will be the opposite color of the first candle.
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DARK CLOUD COVER I n an uptrend, a long white candlestick is followed by a long black candlestick that opens above the prior white candlestick’s high and then reverses to close around the low of the day. The second candlestick must close well into the first candlestick’s real body- beyond half of the prior candle’s real body. This forms the Dark Cloud Cover (pattern on the left) and it is a bearish pattern. Exactly the opposite situation is the case at the bottom. At the low, it is called Piercing Line. |
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ENGULFING PATTERN An engulfing pattern occurs when the price movement for the day completely moves beyond the previous day’s candle. Depending on the position, it is called either a bullish engulfing pattern (at the bottom) or a bearish engulfing pattern (at the top). In this pattern, the stock opens below (above) the previous candle and then proceeds past the previous day’s high (low) and closes near the high (low). Thus it completely “engulfs” the previous candle. |
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HARAMI It is a two-candlestick pattern in which a small real body holds within the prior session’s unusually large real body. The harami implies that the preceding trend is getting ready to conclude. The color of the small body candle is not really important in this case. In Japanese the word harami means “pregnant with”. It is similar to the inside day pattern of traditional technicals. A variety of this pattern is a doji in the place of the small body candle. It is then known as a Harami Cross (picture on right). The implication remains the same. |
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PIERCING LINE It is the mirror image of the Dark Cloud Cover at the bottom. A long black candlestick is followed by a gap lower during the next session. This session finishes as a bullish white real body, which closes more than halfway into the previous sessions real body. a green candlestick which closes in the prior red’s real body, but still below the middle of the prior session’s real body.
One of the varieties of this pattern is the Thrusting Line pattern (shown on the right) where in the candle body marginally penetrates into the previous candle (i.e. less than halfway). There are a couple of more varieties of these called In Neck Line and On neck line where the extent of penetration is up to the low of the previous candle or the body of the previous candle only. |
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Three Candle Patterns
These are patterns formed of three or more candlesticks. Since one has to wait for the completion of the pattern across a minimum of three trading sessions, usually, these patterns do not require a confirmation by price action. However, it is always prudent to seek confirmation from the market for all candle patterns.
ADVANCE BLOCK |
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It is a three candlestick pattern in which the last two candlesticks show strengthening upside or downside drive but the third candle is a small bodied one which verily halts the move. Usually referred to for the upside but no reason why one cannot also refer to it on the downside. |
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STAR PATTERNS |
Morning Star
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Evening Star
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Morning Doji Star
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Evening Doji Star
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The Star patterns are the most common and among the most effective patterns in candlestick. They consist of a three candle pattern. The middle candle is flanked by two long bodied candle of opposing colors. It does not matter what color the middle candle but it must meet two criteria. One it should be small body candle. Two it should leave a gap with the first candle. A gap with the third candle is not necessary but would show strength of the next move if present. The third candle must penetrate significantly into the body of the first candle and should be of the opposing color as the first one. The greater the penetration, the better the pattern. The three together are knows as the Star. Depending upon its position in the trend, it is either known as a Morning Star (at the bottom) or Evening Star (at the top). A variant of this is when the middle candle is a doji pattern instead of a small body. In such a case it is called a Morning Doji Star or an Evening Doji Star. These patterns show an even greater reversal at hand. |
3 SOLDIERS & CROWS |
3 falling crows |
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3 White Soldiers |
These are patterns made up of three relatively long consecutive bearish (Crows) or bullish (soldiers) candlesticks that close near or on their lows (crows) or highs (soldiers). Each candle will open around the previous close and in almost all the cases; there will be no body gap. While the patterns may appear to suggest reversal, it is more often seen when a new move has been set off. That is, the onset of such a pattern warns of more moves to come in the same direction. If 3 white soldier patterns are seen then the next reaction is to be bought, as the stock is likely to progress into another uptrend after a correction. Vice versa for the 3 crows pattern. No confirmation necessary for this pattern.
Multiple Candle Patterns
RISING OR FALLING THREE |
Falling 3 (bullish) |
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Rising 3 (bearish) |
These patterns are comprised of five candlesticks; a long real body candlestick preceded three small bearish real bodies, which hold within the first session’s – which is also a long body candle -range. So there are two long body candles interspersed by three small body candles. The direction of the small body candle decides the pattern. The subsequent move is opposite to the direction of the small body candles. The final candle must be long and should close in the opposite direction to the small body candles. The color of the small candles is not important.
The above patterns encompass more or less the main candlestick patterns. There are many other minor patterns also and more are being identified. Most of the commercially available softwares manage to do a good job of identifying the patterns thus making the job of the analyst easier. The following chart shows three major patterns on the Sensex chart. Right near the top of the last upmove, the market reversed with a Bearish engulfing pattern, and then followed this up with an Evening Star that led to a sharper decline. This moved ended with a bullish engulfing pattern, which produced a minor rally.
Candlestick charting proves to be an excellent visual method to study the market. There are greater nuances involved in interpretation of the Candle chart that we shall take up when we look at the more advanced considerations of technical analysis. Applying the candle patterns as per their rules would give one a decent handle on the trend. Some simple observations, which can be made to help with, the pattern and trend identification are as follows :
A reversal pattern must have something to reverse. Hence all patterns are valid only if preceded by a decent move. |
Patterns appearing, therefore, in a sideways congestion are next to useless. |
Multi candle patterns are much more significant than single candle patterns. |
A failed pattern will lead to a move with greater vigour on the other side |
No targets are possible using candle patterns. |
Any expected trend move must show candles of that color when the move commences. In other words, if a decline is expected, then there should be more bearish candles than bullish ones. |
Trended moves will usually have several long bodied candles pertaining to that direction. In other words, if an upmove is on, there will be several long bodied bullish candles in that move. |
Breakouts from traditional patterns (like triangles, head and shoulder etc) if seen with long bodied candles, would be a strong confirmation of a new trend. |
Fresh trends often commence with a long body candle. |
A small-bodied candle at the end of a long trend is a warning of a trend change in the offing |
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